Who will be relegated from the Premier League in 2016-17?
Latest Premier League 2016-17 Relegation Betting Tips
Our current Premier League relegation betting tips are as follows:
Who Will Be Relegated This Season? Premier League Relegation Betting Tips 2016-17
The promoted sides have made a strong start so far, with none currently in the bottom three. Established Premier League sides like Sunderland, Stoke and West Ham are all in the relegation zone. Despite that, the bookies are still pretty confident that at least two of those promoted sides will be heading straight back to the Championship.
Both Burnley and Hull are among the favourites to go down. They both suffered defeats this weekend, as Arsenal won at Turf Moor. The Tigers were beaten 2-0 at home to Chelsea. Those kinds of results won’t decide their fate, but both teams do look short on the quality needed for this level. They didn’t have the best of transfer windows, and that’s left their squads looking thin.
The relegation battle this season looks pretty open, there’s only five points between 18th and ninth. Even champions Leicester are in that mix, and SkyBet price them as short as 20/1 for the drop. Surely the current champions will have enough to finish above 18th? They may have Champions League distractions, but the quality of the signings and their squad should see them ease to a top half finish.
There are 10 sides who are priced in single figures for the drop. There are quite a few sides who seem vulnerable, while the bookies seem pretty confident that Middlesbrough will stay up. Betfair make them 1/7 to survive this season. That’s hardly something you want to rush out and bet on. But there is some value to be found in that market.
Sunderland are priced at 5/4 to survive with Bet365. The Black Cats are bottom after seven games, but they’ve been in a similar position pretty often. They’ve failed to win a game in the first two months of the season for four years now. They’re used to struggling early on. David Moyes is a decent manager who can get them out of trouble. Should he fail, the Sunderland board have a pretty good record with replacements. Given how many times they’ve fought back and stayed up, we think they’re very well priced to secure a place in the top flight for next season.
One side who should be very fearful is Swansea. They’re just outside the bottom three on goal difference. Without a win since the opening day, Francesco Guidolin looks in line for the sack. However, who would the Swans turn to if they pulled the trigger? It’s hard to see them going for a Sam Allardyce type. Ryan Giggs is the current favourite, he’s not got much experience at this end of the table.
Guidolin’s side aren’t playing that well, and they weakened their squad over the summer. It’s hard to see who would replace the Italian, but it seems like his time to go. The Swans seem like good value in the relegation fight, priced at 11/5 with Coral to end their six year stay in the top flight this season.
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Premier League Relegation Odds 2016-17
The pre-season Premier League relegation betting odds the bookies had for the 2016-17 season are as follows:
Hull City – 10/11 with Sky Bet
Burnley – Evens with Sky Bet
Middlesbrough – 6/4 with Coral
Watford – 9/4 with Sky Bet
West Brom – 9/4 with Sky Bet
Sunderland – 3/1 with Bet365
Bournemouth – 6/5 with Coral
Swansea – 4/1 with Bet365
Crystal Palace – 6/1 with Bet365
Stoke – 11/1 with Bet365
Leicester – 16/1 with Betfred
Southampton – 20/1 with Ladbrokes
Everton – 33/1 with Sky Bet
West Ham – 33/1 with Bet365
Tottenham – 500/1 with Ladbrokes
Liverpool – 500/1 with Sky Bet
Arsenal – 3000/1 with Ladbrokes
Man Utd – 1000/1 with Sky Bet
Chelsea – 750/1 with Sky Bet
Man City – 1000/1 with Ladbrokes
Which teams were relegated from the Premier League in the 2015-16 season?
The 2015-16 season has come to an end with Aston Villa finishing bottom on a pathetic total of just 17 points. Norwich City were second from bottom on 34 points and Newcastle made up the bottom three on 37 points, two points behind bitter rivals Sunderland who occupied that all-important 17th spot in the table.
Before the season commenced, Aston Villa were priced at 9/2 to get relegated, Norwich were the 11/10 second favourites (after Watford) and Newcastle were out at 6/1 for the drop.
Aston Villa managed just three league wins all season, two at home (against Crystal Palace and Norwich) and one away (at Bournemouth). They conceded 76 goals and scored just 27. In short: they were pants!
Premier League Relegation Odds 2015-16
In case you are interested, here are the relegation odds that were available just before the start of the 2015-16 season:
Watford – 8/11 with Bet365
Norwich – 11/10 with Bet365
Bournemouth – 6/5 with Coral
Sunderland – 5/2 with BetVictor
Aston Villa – 9/2 with Sky Bet
Leicester – 5/1 with Coral
West Brom – 5/1 with Sky Bet
Newcastle – 6/1 with Coral
Crystal Palace – 13/2 with Betfair
West Ham – 15/2 with Betfair
Swansea – 9/1 with Bet365
Stoke – 14/1 with BetVictor
Southampton – 66/1 with Ladbrokes
Everton – 100/1 with Sky Bet
Tottenham – 300/1 with Ladbrokes
Liverpool – 750/1 with Ladbrokes
Arsenal – 3000/1 with Ladbrokes
Man Utd – 3000/1 with Ladbrokes
Chelsea – 7500/1 with Ladbrokes
Man City – 7500/1 with Ladbrokes
Which teams were relegated from the Premier League in the 2014-15 season?
Hull City, Burnley and QPR were the three teams to be relegated from the Premier League at the end of the 2014-15 season. QPR finished rock bottom on just 30 points having managed just eight victories (two on the road) and six draws. Burnley were second from bottom on 33 points (seven wins but 12 draws) with Hull slipping into the final relegation place on 35 points having won eight and drawn 11 games. Hull finish three points behind both Aston Villa and Sunderland, and had a better goal difference than each of those sides.
Prior to the start of the 2014-15 season, Burnley were the 8/13 favourites for relegation, QPR were next in the betting at 2/1, while Hull were relative outsiders for the drop at 7/2.
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Will the Newly Promoted Sides be Going Straight Back Down in 2016?
The three promoted sides usually feature heavily in the relegation betting but in recent seasons the new sides have fared pretty well. In the 2012-13 season both Southampton and West Ham survived and did so with relative ease, whilst the season before that the trend was well and truly bucked, as for the first time in 10 years all three sides (Swansea, Norwich and QPR) stayed up. The 2013-14 season, meanwhile, saw two of the three promoted sides (Hull and Crystal Palace) once again avoid the drop, Steve Bruce and Tony Pulis doing extremely good jobs on limited resources. Last season, though, of the three promoted sides only Leicester survived, Burnley and QPR falling straight back into the second tier.
Things will undoubtedly be tough for Bournemouth, Watford and Norwich this season. Probability dictates that at least one newly promoted side will be relegated each season though all three haven’t gone straight back down since 1997-98. That year Crystal Palace were one of the unlucky trio, along with Barnsley and Bolton, but though the Eagles were favourites to finish bottom for much of the 2013-14 season (and were priced at 5/2 to do so at the start of the season but went as short as 1/20 at one point) Pulis pulled the right strings to keep them in the top flight. Leicester were the ones to make a mockery of the odds in the 2014-15 season, having clawed their way out of danger having been slumped at the bottom of the table for much of the campaign.
Of the three promoted sides, we have the feeling that Norwich will be best equipped to adapt to life in the top flight, not least because they have only spent a single season away from it, but also because Alex Neil’s men had an outstanding second half of the season and will go into the new campaign with a good deal of momentum.
Bournemouth and Watford, however, could stuggle, especially the Hornets who looks set to lose the services of manager Slavisa Jokanovic. Time will tell whether either or both sides can get to grips to life in the Premier League, but we have our severe doubts. Can they prove us wrong?
How many points will be needed to avoid relegation in 2015-16?
Every year whilst the top clubs (and any others who can hang onto their coattails) concern themselves with titles, trophies, Europe and what brand of champagne to stock in the club lounges, for many the main focus is avoiding relegation. Even cup-half-full optimists at sides like Southampton must face the reality that a good season would be a 17th place finish in May. 40 points has generally been spoken of as the magic number required to stave off the living, breathing hell on Earth that is life outside the Premier League.
However in 2009/10 the bottom three clubs had 19 (Portsmouth suffered a points deduction), 30 and 30 points respectively: so just 31 would have been enough to ensure safety. Since 1998/99 (15 complete seasons) 36 points would have been enough on 7 occasions and 37 on five occasions (including last season). In 2010-2011 40 points was the required amount to stay safe, with Wolves pipping Blackpool and Birmingham who both won 39 points and still went down. However, past history shows us that in most seasons considerably fewer points than 40 are required. Despite this we expect the 40 point “myth” to live on and many managers in the upcoming season to focus on that target.
Having said that, on occasions even 40 isn’t enough, of course: 2002/03 was a freak year, with West Ham right to consider themselves unlucky to go down with 42 points. That year the two bottom clubs secured just 26 and 19 points (West Brom and Sunderland) and the title was won with a relatively low total. Furthermore there was a close concentration in mid-table with the points very evenly distributed. This season we think a very low points total could be enough to stay up because the top sides once again look like being stronger than ever, although Liverpool, Everton and Spurs have underperformed thus far.
Chelsea, City, Arsenal and Man United will all garner high points total and this leaves the lesser sides fighting for scraps and so this season we fancy 36, but possibly just 35 points will be enough to stay in the Premier League and avoid relegation to the Championship. We would expect teams such as Liverpool and Everton to improve in the second half of the season and if they do it could prove very difficult for the strugglers to gain any points – other than against each other. Be sure to check back though as we’ll be updating this entire article regularly throughout the season.
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