Who will be relegated from the Premier League in 2016-17?
Latest Premier League 2016-17 Relegation Betting Tips
Our current Premier League relegation betting tips are as follows:
Who Will Be Relegated This Season? Premier League Relegation Betting Tips 2016-17
With 11 games of the season played, we’re starting to get a clear picture at the bottom. Even at this early stage, it seems like we’ve already found our bottom three. Is there any way out for Sunderland, Swansea and Hull? We rarely see three sides spending the entire season in the relegation zone.
There was a little hope for Sunderland and Hull this week. The Black Cats won 2-1 away to Bournemouth, claiming victory in the one week where their manager was serving a touchline ban. Does that mean Moyes is still searching for a first win as Sunderland manager? He’s still searching for a way off the bottom, as that win didn’t do much for their position.
They were almost off the bottom, until Swansea’s consolation goal in their 3-1 defeat by Manchester United. There’s now five points between the bottom two and 18th place, after Hull won this weekend. They came back from 1-0 down to beat Southampton 2-1 at the KCOM Stadium. Could that result breath life in to their season? They still seem to be out of their depth, so don’t go backing them to stay up just yet.
Burnley for safety?
Our tip for survival are Championship winners Burnley. Sean Dyche’s Clarets are on to 14 points after their 3-2 win over Crystal Palace. They’re now just four points off sixth place, which is quite impressive. They’re also nine places above the bottom three. With some truly awful sides at the bottom of the top flight, we think the side from Turf Moor will survive. We’re backing them to stay up at the generous price of 8/11 with Sky Bet.
It’s almost tempting to back Sunderland’s price of 2/1 with Ladbrokes. It feels like they’ve started like this every season since the dawn of time. They do always manage to survive, somehow. Maybe hold off until they get another few wins, we can’t see their price changing too much in the meantime.
Bradley’s got a job on his hands!
One side who we aren’t backing to survive is Swansea. Bob Bradley hasn’t had the easiest of opening fixtures, but his men really struggled against Manchester United. We can’t see them having too much life in them for a relegation fight. This is a side who sold their best forward and their captain, who was their strongest defender. They’ve done little to replace either, so we’re backing the Swans for the drop at 10/11 with Coral.
One little outside chance that we fancy is West Ham to be relegated. The Hammers may have had a mini-revival, but they’re still 17th, a point above Hull. They claimed a point at home to Stoke, but they can’t seem to win at the London Stadium. Their hopes of moving up the table were dashed against a fellow struggler, and that’s left them in trouble. While we aren’t exactly expecting them to go, it wouldn’t be a surprise on recent form. Given that Bet365 make them 9/1 for the drop, we think it’s a shot worth taking.
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Premier League Relegation Odds 2016-17
The pre-season Premier League relegation betting odds the bookies had for the 2016-17 season are as follows:
Hull City – 10/11 with Sky Bet
Burnley – Evens with Sky Bet
Middlesbrough – 6/4 with Coral
Watford – 9/4 with Sky Bet
West Brom – 9/4 with Sky Bet
Sunderland – 3/1 with Bet365
Bournemouth – 6/5 with Coral
Swansea – 4/1 with Bet365
Crystal Palace – 6/1 with Bet365
Stoke – 11/1 with Bet365
Leicester – 16/1 with Betfred
Southampton – 20/1 with Ladbrokes
Everton – 33/1 with Sky Bet
West Ham – 33/1 with Bet365
Tottenham – 500/1 with Ladbrokes
Liverpool – 500/1 with Sky Bet
Arsenal – 3000/1 with Ladbrokes
Man Utd – 1000/1 with Sky Bet
Chelsea – 750/1 with Sky Bet
Man City – 1000/1 with Ladbrokes
Which teams were relegated from the Premier League in the 2015-16 season?
The 2015-16 season has come to an end with Aston Villa finishing bottom on a pathetic total of just 17 points. Norwich City were second from bottom on 34 points and Newcastle made up the bottom three on 37 points, two points behind bitter rivals Sunderland who occupied that all-important 17th spot in the table.
Before the season commenced, Aston Villa were priced at 9/2 to get relegated, Norwich were the 11/10 second favourites (after Watford) and Newcastle were out at 6/1 for the drop.
Aston Villa managed just three league wins all season, two at home (against Crystal Palace and Norwich) and one away (at Bournemouth). They conceded 76 goals and scored just 27. In short: they were pants!
Premier League Relegation Odds 2015-16
In case you are interested, here are the relegation odds that were available just before the start of the 2015-16 season:
Watford – 8/11 with Bet365
Norwich – 11/10 with Bet365
Bournemouth – 6/5 with Coral
Sunderland – 5/2 with BetVictor
Aston Villa – 9/2 with Sky Bet
Leicester – 5/1 with Coral
West Brom – 5/1 with Sky Bet
Newcastle – 6/1 with Coral
Crystal Palace – 13/2 with Betfair
West Ham – 15/2 with Betfair
Swansea – 9/1 with Bet365
Stoke – 14/1 with BetVictor
Southampton – 66/1 with Ladbrokes
Everton – 100/1 with Sky Bet
Tottenham – 300/1 with Ladbrokes
Liverpool – 750/1 with Ladbrokes
Arsenal – 3000/1 with Ladbrokes
Man Utd – 3000/1 with Ladbrokes
Chelsea – 7500/1 with Ladbrokes
Man City – 7500/1 with Ladbrokes
Which teams were relegated from the Premier League in the 2014-15 season?
Hull City, Burnley and QPR were the three teams to be relegated from the Premier League at the end of the 2014-15 season. QPR finished rock bottom on just 30 points having managed just eight victories (two on the road) and six draws. Burnley were second from bottom on 33 points (seven wins but 12 draws) with Hull slipping into the final relegation place on 35 points having won eight and drawn 11 games. Hull finish three points behind both Aston Villa and Sunderland, and had a better goal difference than each of those sides.
Prior to the start of the 2014-15 season, Burnley were the 8/13 favourites for relegation, QPR were next in the betting at 2/1, while Hull were relative outsiders for the drop at 7/2.
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Will the Newly Promoted Sides be Going Straight Back Down in 2016?
The three promoted sides usually feature heavily in the relegation betting but in recent seasons the new sides have fared pretty well. In the 2012-13 season both Southampton and West Ham survived and did so with relative ease, whilst the season before that the trend was well and truly bucked, as for the first time in 10 years all three sides (Swansea, Norwich and QPR) stayed up. The 2013-14 season, meanwhile, saw two of the three promoted sides (Hull and Crystal Palace) once again avoid the drop, Steve Bruce and Tony Pulis doing extremely good jobs on limited resources. Last season, though, of the three promoted sides only Leicester survived, Burnley and QPR falling straight back into the second tier.
Things will undoubtedly be tough for Bournemouth, Watford and Norwich this season. Probability dictates that at least one newly promoted side will be relegated each season though all three haven’t gone straight back down since 1997-98. That year Crystal Palace were one of the unlucky trio, along with Barnsley and Bolton, but though the Eagles were favourites to finish bottom for much of the 2013-14 season (and were priced at 5/2 to do so at the start of the season but went as short as 1/20 at one point) Pulis pulled the right strings to keep them in the top flight. Leicester were the ones to make a mockery of the odds in the 2014-15 season, having clawed their way out of danger having been slumped at the bottom of the table for much of the campaign.
Of the three promoted sides, we have the feeling that Norwich will be best equipped to adapt to life in the top flight, not least because they have only spent a single season away from it, but also because Alex Neil’s men had an outstanding second half of the season and will go into the new campaign with a good deal of momentum.
Bournemouth and Watford, however, could stuggle, especially the Hornets who looks set to lose the services of manager Slavisa Jokanovic. Time will tell whether either or both sides can get to grips to life in the Premier League, but we have our severe doubts. Can they prove us wrong?
How many points will be needed to avoid relegation in 2015-16?
Every year whilst the top clubs (and any others who can hang onto their coattails) concern themselves with titles, trophies, Europe and what brand of champagne to stock in the club lounges, for many the main focus is avoiding relegation. Even cup-half-full optimists at sides like Southampton must face the reality that a good season would be a 17th place finish in May. 40 points has generally been spoken of as the magic number required to stave off the living, breathing hell on Earth that is life outside the Premier League.
However in 2009/10 the bottom three clubs had 19 (Portsmouth suffered a points deduction), 30 and 30 points respectively: so just 31 would have been enough to ensure safety. Since 1998/99 (15 complete seasons) 36 points would have been enough on 7 occasions and 37 on five occasions (including last season). In 2010-2011 40 points was the required amount to stay safe, with Wolves pipping Blackpool and Birmingham who both won 39 points and still went down. However, past history shows us that in most seasons considerably fewer points than 40 are required. Despite this we expect the 40 point “myth” to live on and many managers in the upcoming season to focus on that target.
Having said that, on occasions even 40 isn’t enough, of course: 2002/03 was a freak year, with West Ham right to consider themselves unlucky to go down with 42 points. That year the two bottom clubs secured just 26 and 19 points (West Brom and Sunderland) and the title was won with a relatively low total. Furthermore there was a close concentration in mid-table with the points very evenly distributed. This season we think a very low points total could be enough to stay up because the top sides once again look like being stronger than ever, although Liverpool, Everton and Spurs have underperformed thus far.
Chelsea, City, Arsenal and Man United will all garner high points total and this leaves the lesser sides fighting for scraps and so this season we fancy 36, but possibly just 35 points will be enough to stay in the Premier League and avoid relegation to the Championship. We would expect teams such as Liverpool and Everton to improve in the second half of the season and if they do it could prove very difficult for the strugglers to gain any points – other than against each other. Be sure to check back though as we’ll be updating this entire article regularly throughout the season.
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